Feb 6, 2017 · Design and development by Jay Boice and Reuben Fischer-Baum. Statistical model by Nate Silver and Jay Boice. Additional contributions by Aaron Bycoffe, Ritchie King and Kshitij Aranke. FiveThirtyEight's 2016 NFL forecast uses an Elo-based model to calculate each team's chances of advancing to the playoffs and winning Super Bowl LI. A 12-Team College Football Playoff Would Be Big Enough … 90 Percent Of The Time. By Zach Wissner-Gross. Filed under College Football. Oct. 7, 2021.Today was a very sad day over @FiveThirtyEight. After the recent layoffs and organizational decisions from Disney/ABC News, the team is officially no longer maintaining or supporting our sports ...Our NFL predictions have the San Francisco 49ers finishing with the best NFL record in 2023 at 13-4. Right behind San Francisco at 12-5 are the Kansas City Chiefs, New York Jets and Philadelphia ...Editor's Picks. 2023 NFL schedule release: Bold predictions, takeaways and revenge games for all 32 teams. 151d NFL Nation. Chiefs host Lions to open '23; 49ers back in Philly. 152d Adam Teicher.In 2019 over 15,000 players signed up to play FiveThirtyEight's NFL forecast game. At the end of the season FiveThirtyEight's model had accumulated 773.7 points, good enough to be in the 97th percentile and in 514th place. This means their model was able to predict NFL games better than 97% of those that played.Playoff picks. Super Bowl predictions. With the 2022 NFL season just around the corner, our analysts predicts the playoff field: AFC East. AFC North. AFC South. AFC West. AFC Wild Card. NFC East.The 2022 NFL season is over. Thanks for playing, and congratulations to Derek Truesdale, who finished with the most points this season. Check back after this week’s games to see whether you beat FiveThirtyEight and how you stacked up against everyone else.FiveThirtyEight's 2020 NFL forecast uses an Elo-based model to calculate each team's chances of advancing to the playoffs and winning the Super Bowl. UPDATED Feb. 13, 2022, at 10:03 PM 2021 NFL PredictionsForecast from. Season. The top two teams are automatically promoted, and a third is promoted through a four-team playoff. The bottom three teams are relegated. Download this data. Design and development by Jay Boice, Reuben Fischer-Baum and Julia Wolfe. Statistical models by Jay Boice and Nate Silver. FiveThirtyEight's Championship predictions.FiveThirtyEight's Elo predictions give all four AFC North teams at least a 14 percent chance to make the postseason from this point, with the Ravens and Bengals leading the way at 60 percent and ...The others were the 2012 San Francisco 49ers, 2007 New England Patriots, 2002 Oakland Raiders and 1980 Raiders. Joining the 1981 49ers and 2013 Seattle Seahawks — admittedly good company!White consistently crushes the NFL as SportsLine's No. 1 NFL expert in picks against the spread, and went 445-378-24 on his ATS NFL picks from 2017-21, which returned $2,542 to $100 players. He's ...The model enters Week 5 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 168-118 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 22-10 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week ...Friday, January 27, 2023 It’s another week of NFL games — and another chance to beat FiveThirtyEight at its own game. Click the button below to take your shot. Play the …Our 2022 election forecast is final and no longer updating. Visit our live blog to follow along as results come in. We use numbers to express uncertainty. Upset wins are surprising but not impossible. For more forecast content, listen to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast and subscribe to our YouTube channel!Morry Gash / AP. On Sunday, the Green Bay Packers beat the New England Patriots, who had entered Week 13 ranked first in FiveThirtyEight's NFL Elo ratings. They got there by defeating the ...FiveThirtyEight's NBA forecast projects the winner of each game and predicts each team's chances of advancing to the playoffs and winning the NBA finals. UPDATED Jun. 14, 2023, at 7:14 AM. 2022-23 NBA Predictions Team ratings, game schedule, playoff odds and in-game win probabilities, updating live. ...2015 NFL Predictions. FiveThirtyEight’s 2015 NFL forecast uses an Elo-based model to calculate each team’s chances of advancing to the playoffs and winning Super Bowl 50. Probabilities are based on 20,000 simulations and update after each game. NFL preseason predictions for every game and for all 32 teams, along with the schedules and projected win totals. Yeah, we're all about college football, but we're into the NFL fun the rest of the week, too. The NFL totals and overall predictions are much, much tougher than the college side. Alabama, Ohio State, Clemson, Georgia - you ...Standings. Stats. Teams. Depth Charts. Daily Lines. More. The initial Caesars William Hill win total projections for the 2021 NFL season are out, so where does your team fall in the over/under debate?Teams. Depth Charts. Daily Lines. More. The NFL playoff field is finally set, and an exciting wild-card slate lies ahead. Here's your guide to everything you need to know about the 14 teams vying ...NFL win total predictions: Over/under picks for all 32 teams. 56d ESPN Betting Analysts. NFL experts pick best matchups, biggest winners from the schedule release. 153d NFL experts. The model enters the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 138-97 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. Amazingly, it hasn't missed a top-rated pick since Week 15 last season.FiveThirtyEight's 2018 NFL forecast uses an Elo-based model to calculate each team's chances of advancing to the playoffs and winning the Super Bowl. UPDATED Feb. 3, 2019, at 10:10 PM 2018...Dan also contributes to Get Up, NFL Live, SportsCenter, ESPN Radio, Sunday NFL Countdown and Fantasy Football Now. He is a New Jersey native who joined ESPN in 2011, and he is also the author of ...FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society.Bold NFL Predictions for Three Years From Now. Sheil and Ben let loose and have some fun with predicting three NFL headlines that will happen in 2026. By Sheil Kapadia and Ben Solak May 23, 2023 ...Sep 17, 2023 · The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model entered Week 1 of the 2023 NFL season on an ... Take the Lions to cover as one of your NFL week 1 picks for Sunday. This also has the markings of a Week 1 game that will be played in opposite land. Later in the season, the Eagles would win this one by 2 TDs. Best Bet: Lions locked in at +4.5 at -110 with DraftKings , while the line has since moved to Lions +5.FiveThirtyEight. January 25, 2023 6:00 AM Yes, 2023 Is An Election Year. Here Are The Races To Watch. FiveThirtyEight. September 11, 2023 2:34 PM Ron DeSantis Probably Didn't Turn Florida RedHow does Prediction Machine improve your win rate? Welcome to Prediction Machine, your go-to source for sports predictions and analysis. Our advanced technology uses sophisticated algorithms and techniques to simulate and predict the outcome of upcoming sports games, giving you the edge you need to make informed decisions when betting on your ...Can you outsmart our forecasts? Make your picks using the sliders below. Our NFL forecasts are based on a simple algorithm called Elo ratings, which use only a few pieces of information to rate each team and project each game.. But beware: We're asking you to make a probabilistic forecast for each matchup — and our game punishes overconfidence. For the full rules, read here.Microsoft Cortana's nfl picks, bets, and accuracy from Pickwatch. Gain access to the best sports predictions and insights in the industry with Pickwatch. See their straight up, against the spread, over/under, underdog and prop picksFortunes swung wildly during Week 14 of the NFL season, with a few games making a big dent in some teams' playoff hopes while boosting others. Three games gave us combined swings in playoff ...FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society.By Geoffrey Skelley. Filed under 2022 Election. Next >. FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society.Gear up for another weekend of NFL action! Make sure to check in with BettingPros throughout the year for top picks and predictions for each and every NFL …Our 2021 NFL Projections Like The Bucs And Chiefs (Again) | FiveThirtyEight Our 2021 NFL Projections Like The Bucs And Chiefs (Again) Get ready for some familiar favorites — and some...Jan 19, 2022 · NFL Predictions. Wednesday, January 19, 2022. It’s another week of NFL games — and another chance to beat FiveThirtyEight at its own game. Click the button below to take your shot. Check out our latest NFL predictions. CORRECTION (Jan. 26, 2023, 2:20 p.m.): A previous version of this story said Philadelphia Eagles cornerback Sidney Jones was traded to the Seattle Seahawks ...I love FiveThirtyEight and Nate Silver is a fucking wizard of predictions. Statistically, his Elo model for NFL is probably the best freely available one you'll find. It uses a ton of information to try and factor out some of the noise you get in the NFL with so few games, and generally, I air with what he says.Week 2 of the 2023 NFL season concluded on Monday night with a doubleheader featuring the New Orleans Saints, Carolina Panthers, Cleveland Browns and Pittsburgh Steelers. It was a fun way to ...We saw the Arizona Cardinals and Dolphins both come back from 20-point deficits in the second half — the first time multiple teams have overcome a 20-point halftime deficit on the same day.FiveThirtyEight's MLB forecast uses a pitcher-adjusted Elo model to project the winner of every game and the chances that each team will win the World Series. Updated Nov. 5, 2022, at 11:22 PM. 2022 MLB Predictions Updated after every game. Standings Games PitchersWhat Went Down In Super Bowl LVI. FiveThirtyEight. Filed under NFL. Feb. 11, 2022. Cooper Kupp And Ja'Marr Chase Put On Shows This Year.Cynthia Frelund's model projects the final scores, win probability, and cover probability for every NFL game in week 5 of the 2022 seasonPredictions Methodology. The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.NFL Week 5 picks, predictions:Cowboys-49ers, Eagles-Rams, Chiefs-Vikings games to watch Monday Night Football prediction Green Bay Packers at Las Vegas Raiders, 5:15 p.m., ABC, ESPN, ESPN2, ESPN ...FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society.The Bucs rank 26th in the NFL in turnover rate while the 49ers rank third-best! Prescott tosses two picks in this game, the Cowboys lose, and Dallas fans spend the entire offseason debating if he ...FiveThirtyEight's MLB forecast uses a pitcher-adjusted Elo model to project the winner of every game and the chances that each team will win the World Series. Updated Nov. 5, 2022, at 11:22 PM. 2022 MLB Predictions Updated after every game. Standings Games PitchersJan. 13, 2022. The website FiveThirtyEight has released its NFL predictions and it has the Green Bay Packers winning the Super Bowl. Earlier this week, the blogging and statistical analysis ...Here you can find all of our ice hockey betting predictions every day of the NHL season. Our hockey predictions include a prediction on the Money Line, Spread, and Totals. Each of these hockey predictions will come with expert analysis, ket stats, and a confidence rating from our NHL handicappers. Be sure to check back every day of the NHL ...Nov 17, 2022 · Since the NFL expanded each conference’s playoffs to seven teams in 2020, the worst seeds have averaged 9.4 wins per season. 2 The Bengals need a 5-3 finish against the league’s hardest ... 8-9. Carolina. 7-10. New Orleans. 7-10. Atlanta. 7-10. Use the NFL Playoff Machine from ESPN to predict the NFL Playoff matchups by generating the various matchup scenarios based on your selections.Sky Sports duo Simeon Gholam and David Prutton take a look ahead at Gameweek 11 in the Sky Bet Championship, predicting the results of every fixture; listen …In the world of numismatics, Westminster Mint has established itself as a leading provider of high-quality coins and bullion. With a rich history spanning over several decades, the company has gained a reputation for excellence and reliabil...Find the latest NFL predictions for the regular season and playoffs, updated after every game. See the Elo history, quarterback ratings, division and super bowl chances of each team.Feb 17, 2023 · Schedule. Standings. Stats. Teams. Depth Charts. Daily Lines. More. We asked 10 NFL analysts to weigh in on next season's Super Bowl winner, MVP candidates, breakout players and most interesting ... NFL Predictions. Friday, January 6, 2023. It's another week of NFL games — and another chance to beat FiveThirtyEight at its own game. Click the button below to take your shot.How this works: When a trade is made, our model updates the rosters of the teams involved and reallocates the number of minutes each player is expected to play. We then run our full NBA forecast with the new lineups to produce updated win totals and playoff probabilities. Injury icons are an approximation of the share of minutes that a player ...Final record prediction: 9-8. The Browns will ultimately go as far as Deshaun Watson takes them in 2023. His first season in Cleveland was rough, completing just 58.2% of his passes for 1,102 ...The answer, as always, was that it depends on how you count. From 2001 to 2016, the Patriots’ average season-ending Elo rating was 1701, the best 16-season stretch in league history. But the best 17-season, 18-season and 19-season stretches belong to the San Francisco 49ers of the 1980s and ’90s. San Francisco’s Elo average from 1981 to ...Sporting News' predictions for the 2023 NFL season are here. Check out our complete set of projections for the regular season standings and playoff matchups all the way through Super Bowl 58 in ...FiveThirtyEight's MLB forecast uses a pitcher-adjusted Elo model to project the winner of every game and the chances that each team will win the World Series. Updated Nov. 2, 2021, at 11:36 PM. 2021 MLB Predictions Updated after every game. Standings Games PitchersEditor's Picks. 2023 NFL schedule release: Bold predictions, takeaways and revenge games for all 32 teams. 151d NFL Nation. Chiefs host Lions to open '23; 49ers back in Philly. 152d Adam Teicher.The SportsLine Projection Model, which is up over $7,500 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception, has revealed its Week 2 NFL picks. Week 2 of the 2022 NFL schedule features multiple mouthwatering matchups, including Buccaneers vs. Saints, Steelers vs. Patriots, Cowboys vs. Bengals and Packers vs. Bears.The Rams were not an overwhelming champion even during the season in which they won (they had a +1.24 z-score in the 2021 season, which ranked fifth among NFL teams), and although they went 5-1 ...Related: NFL predictions 2023: Projecting win-loss records for all 32 teams, NFL stats projections. NFC South champions: New Orleans Saints. Stephen Lew-USA TODAY Sports.Nate Silver is the founder and editor in chief of FiveThirtyEight and the author of “The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail — But Some Don’t.”FiveThirtyEight's 2022-23 NHL forecast predicts the winner of each hockey game and calculates each team's chances of advancing to the playoffs and winning the Stanley Cup. UPDATED Jun. 13, 2023, at 10:58 PM. 2022-23 NHL Predictions Updated after every game. Standings. Games.Top Week 17 NFL picks. After simulating every game 10,000 times, the model is high on the San Francisco 49ers (-9.5) to cover against the Las Vegas Raiders.The Raiders will have a difficult time ...8-9. Carolina. 7-10. New Orleans. 7-10. Atlanta. 7-10. Use the NFL Playoff Machine from ESPN to predict the NFL Playoff matchups by generating the various matchup scenarios based on your selections.Week 2 should provide a few more intriguing windows into the N.F.L. as Lamar Jackson explores the limits of a newly built Ravens offense against the Bengals, who last week signed quarterback Joe ...2023 NFL Week 5 odds, predictions: Picks, lines, spreads, results for every game By extending Jonathan Taylor, Colts tie him together with Anthony Richardson 2023 NFL Week 5 odds, best bets: Look ...Season. The top four teams qualify for next season’s UEFA Champions League. The bottom three teams are relegated. Download this data. Design and development by Jay Boice, Reuben Fischer-Baum and Julia Wolfe. Statistical models by Jay Boice and Nate Silver. FiveThirtyEight's Premier League predictions.Season to date: 7-6 (.538) Upset pick of the week: Tennessee Titans (+3) over the Los Angeles Chargers. ... The best 5 NFL survivor pool picks to consider for Week 1. BetFTW. 13 hours.Schedule. Standings. Stats. Teams. Depth Charts. Daily Lines. More. We asked 10 NFL analysts to weigh in on next season's Super Bowl winner, MVP candidates, breakout players and most interesting ...Check out our latest NFL predictions. CORRECTION (Jan. 26, 2023, 2:20 p.m.): A previous version of this story said Philadelphia Eagles cornerback Sidney Jones was traded to the Seattle Seahawks ...FiveThirtyEight's 2019 NFL forecast uses an Elo-based model to calculate each team's chances of advancing to the playoffs and winning the Super Bowl. UPDATED Feb. 2, 2020, at 10:15 PM 2019 NFL PredictionsCynthia Frelund's mathematical model projects the final scores, win probability, and cover probability for every NFL game in the opening week of the 2022 season.An average team has an Elo rating of 1500 — so your Lions are not so hot. But it could be a lot worse. In 2009, the Lions got all the way down to a rating of 1223. Most NFL teams wind up in the ...All of our NFL picks are completely free, including our picks straight up, and against the spread. Free NFL Picks Explained. There’s almost an infinite way to bet on the NFL, from NFL picks against the spread, over/under, NFL Parlays, NFL Prop Bets, daily fantasy sports, or even scoreboard squares, there is a bet type for every kind of ...NFL Week 2 predictions: Picks against spread for every game. By. Dave Blezow. Published Sep. 17, 2023, 8:00 a.m. ET. Breece Hall Getty Images. On one hand, the Jets lost a lot when Aaron Rodgers ...Nov. 3, 2020. Our 2020 forecasts — presidential, Senate, House — are all now officially frozen, meaning we won't be ingesting any new polls or updating the odds in any race. Instead, follow along on our Election Day Live blog as we track results in real-time. At the end of a loooooong campaign, here's where we stand: Joe Biden is ...Another one of the model's Week 7 NFL predictions: The Lions (+15) cover against the Rams well over 50 percent of the time. L.A. had no trouble dispatching the New York Giants last week, 38-11 ...Mike Tannenbaum, NFL front-office insider: Chiefs over Cowboys. Patrick Mahomes remains the best player on the planet. The Cowboys will finally get over the hump by correcting their biggest ...The model enters Week 5 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 168-118 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 22-10 roll …NFL Expert Picks - Week 6. DEN at KC Thu 8:15PM. BAL VS TEN Sun 9:30AM. WSH at ATL Sun 1:00PM. MIN at CHI Sun 1:00PM. SEA at CIN Sun 1:00PM. SF at CLE Sun 1:00PM. CAR at MIA Sun 1:00PM. IND ...2023 NFL Week 5 odds, predictions: Picks, lines, spreads, results for every game By , Where Republicans Who Deny The 2020 Election Results Are On The Ballot — And , What to know for NFL Week 3: Score picks, bold predictions, fantasy tips, key stats, 8-9. Carolina. 7-10. New Orleans. 7-10. Atlanta. 7-10. Use the NFL Playoff Machine from ESPN to predict the NFL Play, Far-Too-Early 2023 NFL Predictions. From week one to the draf, NFL predictions – 2022 receiving yardage leaders. Justi, FiveThirtyEight's 2019 NFL forecast uses an Elo-based model to calculate, Dan also contributes to Get Up, NFL Live, SportsCen, 538 uses statistical analysis to tell compelling stories about ele, Gilberto Manzano 's 2023 season playoff picks. Illustrat, FiveThirtyEight's 2022-23 NHL forecast predicts th, San Francisco 49ers. Win total: 10.3. The 49ers won , Bills, Jets, Patriots, Ravens, Texans, Titans. Lions, Packer, Oct 5, 2023 · Another week in the books. Another oppo, New England Patriots. Over/under: 7.5 Mike Clay's proje, Check out VSiN's NHL Playoffs Hub each day for updated analysi, What Went Down In Super Bowl LVI. FiveThirtyEight. Filed, Organizations are considered partisan if they operate .